WHEN THE Republican Party’s presidential candidates assemble for their third debate on October 28th in Boulder, Colorado, Donald Trump will again be standing, braced for a fight, centre-stage. But the poll ratings that determine the candidates’ lecturn order no longer look quite as rosy as they did for the billionaire reality-television star.
On October 27th, the day before the debate, Ben Carson, a retired neurosurgeon, overtook Mr Trump in a national poll, albeit by a squeak. In a survey by CBS/New York Times of Republican primary voters, Mr Carson was on 26% of the vote and Mr Trump on 22%. The two are way ahead of their closest rivals. Marco Rubio, a Florida senator, was on 8%; Jeb Bush, a former two-term governor of Florida, was on 7% (as was Carly Fiorina, a former chief executive of Hewlett Packard). The others—Rand Paul, Ted Cruz, Mike Huckabee and John Kasich—each won 4%.
The poll reinforces the extent to which most Republicans want a candidate with no political experience. A recent study by Pew of Republicans who will probably vote in the primaries found that 65% want a candidate who offers “new ideas and a different approach”; the figure was...Continue reading